📉 US30 Market Wrap: CPI Fallout & Bearish Structure Confirmed
Published by Bonang Financial Institute
🗓️ Weekend Analysis – April 11, 2025
📊 Market Overview
The US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) ended the week under pressure, with Friday’s CPI release acting as the key catalyst for directional movement. Inflation data surprised slightly to the upside, reinforcing concerns that the Federal Reserve may maintain its hawkish stance longer — something risk assets were not ready to hear.
The result? A sharp rejection at key resistance zones, with price falling beneath structural supports and confirming a short-term bearish trend heading into the new week.
🔍 Technical Breakdown (H1 Focus)
- Rejected Zone: 40,608.45 to 40,778.70
- Sell Confirmation: Retest of 39,593.66 CV zone confirmed bearish control
- Breakdown Level: 39,426.60 (Sell entry)
- Take Profit Hit: 38,578.87
- Secondary Support Target: 38,427.70 remains open
Price remained suppressed under a longstanding H1 trendline. Despite intra-day attempts to climb, bears maintained dominance post-CPI.
🧠 Key Observations
- Inflation Still a Driver: CPI reignited concerns over Fed rate cuts. Equities reacted sharply.
- Bearish Structure Maintained: Below 40,600, bearish control remains valid.
- Liquidity Pools Tapped: Friday’s move cleared early-week liquidity, priming the market for further moves.
📌 What to Watch Next Week
- Reclaim of 40,600+: A break and hold above this flips bias to bullish.
- Support Zones: 38,427.70 (active) and 37,645.59 (major support).
- Event Risk: Monitor Fed speakers and any surprise data points.
📷 Visual Recap
The chart below highlights:
- Key resistance rejections
- Confirmed sell entry and structure zones
- CPI-driven spike and reversal
- Support levels and invalidation levels
🎯 Final Thought
The US30 closed the week respecting technical structure and reacting rationally to macroeconomic news — a rare alignment that gives traders a clear framework to build next week’s plan around. Until proven otherwise, sellers remain in control.
Stay sharp, stay patient — and let the levels speak.
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